We know that, not just because of the three nationally representative studies Ive mentioned here (Pew, GSS, NSYR), but because of the churchs own internal data. But opting out of some of these cookies may affect your browsing experience. What can be easily seen is that the churchs growth over the past two decades has completely stalled. Certainly, more missionaries are serving now (67,000) than in 2008 (52,000), so that part of the church has never been stronger line is verifiable. Ok, now that you've supplied a source, we can talk. All teens are expected to attend LDS seminary; each adult member has a volunteer position within the church they are expected to perform. The church added 400 new congregations in 2019the highest number in over a decadeand half of those units were located in the U.S. The church doesnt create congregations for the fun of it, and based on the survey data I collect, the size of congregations has not changed, Martinich says. But there is general agreement that falling birthrates bear a good portion of the blame. These cookies ensure basic functionalities and security features of the website, anonymously. Quitmormon. Im sure to this day that missionaries in heavily populated LDS areas baptize children over eight, fluffing the convert baptisms for the church. Congregational leaders were also directed to delegate more responsibilities to other volunteer leaders to allow the ward bishop essentially the priest or pastor of an LDS Wardto spend more time with local youth. All rights reserved. Think of those parents. But the more stagnant growth and even declines seen in 2021 in the U.S. and a significant number of states do continue a trend weve seen even before COVID-19 took hold, in the latter part of the 2010s. However, the rate of growth in 2019 was only 1.5%, which is a lower percentage than in 2003 because more than 4.5 million additional members had joined the church during that decade and a half. Solutions to Retain Members. The Gem States six existing temples have no value attached. First, its just not statistically true, at least in the United States, and it wasnt even true five years ago. Data scientist Stephen Cranney wondered and did some basic calculations. Most, Riess says, just stop showing up and quietly distance themselves from the faith. http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/. (Personal email to me, 2/17/2021). Devoted Mormons adhere to strict teachings that inform choices about everything from one's diet to humanitarian service. Catholic, evangelical and other religious leaders told The Associated Press this week that they will not offer exemptions, either. This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. According to Back-Pocket God, the LDS retention rate was about six in ten who had stayed Mormon through their 20s. The attempt was made to try to reactivate their jackMormon father. Family and peer pressure make these the simplest converts of all. The Salt Lake Tribune, Inc. is a 501(c)(3) public charity and contributions are tax All rights reserved. What do those states have in common? But the bigger factor affecting growth, according to Martinich, is falling birthrates. There are two primary ways for religions to shrink. For instance, there were 243,000 converts in 2003, which computes to close to 12 million members that year and a 2.03% rate of growth. He discovered this highly speculative shift would happen in about 30 years. ChurchPlants | Looking to plant a church? Where would this soul have been destined? One approach helps them to understand that what theyre experiencing with their kids is part of a massive social trend, and not just the result of their personal failings. Did they not hold Family Home Evening often enough? Among those who leave, a growing number affiliate with an ex-Mormon community that regards the church not only as false, but as actively harmful to society, making the LDS Church an organization both uniquely loved, and hated, by those brought up in it. The answer is no, not even close. How big is the LDS Church? If the church ends up remaining at an average 1.5% convert baptism growth rate in the next five years, 18 million members wont be reached until 2024 at the earliest. Mormonism, Smith says, has mechanisms that prevent you from being a mediocre Mormon. Members meet annually with church leaders to determine if they have maintained their faith and continued in religious behaviors, such as wearing special clothing and giving 10 percent of their income to the church. While the church continues to grow, it is taking place at a much slower rate than just a few decades ago. 2. Many more web sites have been developed to provide multiple sources of information on a wide variety of topics. When Church Is Hard It can be easy to feel overwhelmed by membership in the Church. . New Jersey, Idaho and North Dakota were the three biggest losers when compared to population change, while South Dakota, Washington, D.C., and Arkansas saw Latter-day Saints become a larger share of their communities. 2023 Youth Theme: I Can Do All Things. Older Mormons were more likely to . 1548: Is the Mormon Church in Decline? During the same time period, the church also restructured the organization of its highest-ranking priesthood. In that context, 61% or 57% doesnt seem that bad. If you made a final decision, write a letter to Church Records. Now, imagine if the average potential convert was visited by missionaries in 1990. Yet there remains a bright spot, as highlighted by this years statistical announcements: conversions to the church, particularly outside the U.S., are enjoying an upward trend, adding nearly a quarter million new members in 2019. sltrib.com 1996-2023 The Salt Lake Tribune. The lack of a church-issued note for a religious exemption does not preclude Latter-day Saints from applying for a religious exemption if their employer has mandated vaccination, according to legal experts. To figure this out we need to ask questions about our measurements. With that new percentage in mind, lets see what this increase would do to the overall numbers. It provided the names of those in the ward boundaries who had been blessed but were not baptized. Will the falling numbers cause a compromise in these hot-button topics? Thank you! 13) Building Cleaning One place the church does not use its money for is janitors. So what are the overall trends for the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints? For people who have left recently, there is a built-in community waiting to receive them, and thats just not the case for people who left decades ago, Riess says. Link to Reuters Article. Does this seem like a loving policy? Exmormons are told to leave quietly with their tails between their legs. Like. Click on the drop-down menu in the top left to zoom in on a specific states members. The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints has never been stronger. Your generous support makes the work of MRM possible. The 6 in 10 rough estimate is just those people who, on a survey, choose the identity of Latter-day Saint or Mormon as their stated religious affiliation. We see this with the liberal Protestant church, and theyre still experiencing steep declines in membership. Mormon missionaries only had the first 75 days of the year to do their work with no hinderances, but most were ordered to return home in mid-March. Here are some factors that should be considered: One can only imagine how many of the 126,000 convert baptisms in 2020 were performed on those baptized after 8 but before the age of 17. One thing that I dont find helpful, though, is the inclusion of a 5-year-old quote from an LDS apostle who seems to be denying that there is anything like a retention problem in the church: Some have asserted that more members are leaving the Church today and that there is more doubt and unbelief than in the past. Whether transporting, sheltering, clothing or feeding families or even outfitting troops, Latter-day Saints in Europe are going to incredible lengths to help Ukrainian refugees and soldiers. There are many solutions to retain members in a church denomination, but one of the most effective is to provide a sense of community. Mormon dominance in Utah is also down. Riess conducted The Next Mormons Survey in 2016 and notes that youth defections are on the rise, but whats really changed is that they arent coming back. Yet local leaders were also given direction to divide mens church services into more than one group as required by local activity levels. Even though the actual numbers are usednot the revised numbers with the 3% growth added on each yearthe number of baptized converts would have been double during the years 2017-2019! Between 1990-99, the church grew by almost 3 million members (2.993 million), equaling 38.6% percent growth during that decade. A less rosy picture emerges from the General Social Survey, which has . Courtesy image. But according to Jim Bennett, a current Saint who met me in the basement of the Salt . However, you may visit "Cookie Settings" to provide a controlled consent. The number of members of the church as late as 1950 was only 1 million. The largest percentage winners were South Dakota (up 6.48%), Arkansas (plus 5.32%) and Tennessee (up 4.79%). This certainly resulted in doubling up of missionaries around the United States, which provided a beefed-up recruiting force but with not enough interested potential converts to go around. Probably one of the biggest reasons for the stunted growth in the LDS Church is easier access to information. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Analytics". The LDS church is losing members at record numbers. As far as Christian titles that explained LDS beliefs while contrasting these with biblical Christianity, the list of offerings available before 1990 included: It must be remembered that there were no online retailers like Amazon or Christian Books before 1990. The LDS Church and its support of a marriage bill, Projected Church Membership at the end of that decade (millions), total stakes/missions/districts/wards and branches, the total membership number (as of that year), new children of record and baptized converts, missionary totals, both full-time as well as church-service, temples that were dedicated or rededicated along with the total temples in operation. There has been a movement led by many feminists that may cause some leaders toward a politically correct decision. Serving Refugees in Faith. But the churchs membership growth, which is public information, has slowed enough that it is basically flat, though this past year it did slightly reverse the downward trajectory and is back up to about 1.5% growth around the world, and 0.6% growth within the U.S. Maybe we could make a case for never been stronger if we compare todays church to the debacles that our denominational neighbors are experiencing right now. One non-church website dedicated to helping members resign from the church membership rolls became very popular (quitmormon.org). This bothers me in a couple of ways. The reality, scholars say, is complicated. Performance cookies are used to understand and analyze the key performance indexes of the website which helps in delivering a better user experience for the visitors. By 2018, 95% of all Americans owned a cell phone while 77% owned a smartphone. Feminism, gender bias and sexism. One of the helpful aspects of a book like Back-Pocket God is that it covers the whole gamut of religious identities and experiences, and when you look at the bigger picture, a retention rate of 6 in 10 is actually quite good. Salt Lake Tribune columnist Gordon Monson has some advice for members who feel unworthy, stating that sometimes the only cleanse you need is eliminating the feeling like you should do one.. If people leave this Church, they will usually end up traveling down one of two paths either they will become a church unto themselves (because they will never find another church that has more truth than they already have) or . Is controversy driving members away from the church? Is this what Jesus would do? Thats pretty unusual. In fact, Utahs growth of about 34,000 members represents the majority of the churchs 42,000-member growth in America overall over the past two years. Lets suppose that the church could maintain that 17.22% growth, which is certainly better than losing members as many mainstream Protestant denominations have been doing. The first is through death without replacement. In the LDS stronghold Utah, where more than half the population is raised LDS, protests and mass resignations tied to controversial church policies have made the news in recent yearsfrom the news Religion Unplugged reported that the church has amassed a $100 billion stockpile using member tithes in the last 22 years, to the now-revoked 2015 policy banning the baptism of children with gay parents. At the ward level, the church takes a village approach to not only religion and childrearing, but, as is the LDS way, all aspects of lifea given ward may appoint someone to help others find employment, pursue education, or improve physical health, according to the needs of the locals. But after about 1997, you do see a more consistent decline in growth rates over the past 25 years, from about 2% a year annually to about 0.5% annually now. Meanwhile, the share of Hispanics who say they are religiously unaffiliated is now 23%, up from 15% in 2009. Yet the church has never grown by more than 300,000 converts even once in the 21st century. There is, however, a flip side to this trend: a sizeable and growing portion of young Mormons are leaving the mainline church. Functional cookies help to perform certain functionalities like sharing the content of the website on social media platforms, collect feedbacks, and other third-party features. With so many more females volunteering for service than ever before, we must assume that there were many places considered too dangerous to send them. Patrick Mason, head of Mormon history and culture at Utah State University told the Salt Lake Tribune, We know that there continues to be an exodus from the church. The percentages for the past three decades have gone down for the first time in the history of the LDS Church. Andy Larsen: The LDS Church is losing member share in most of the U.S. and other things I learned when researching the rolls 5/23/2022 5:12:00 PM Salt Lake Tribune data columnist Andy Larsen looks at the last 40 years of Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints membership data to see trends in growth rates in Utah and the United States. On top of this, Smith says, Mormonism remains an unusual faith, with unique teachings not found in other Christian sectsfor example, the belief that all other churches abandoned the true teachings of Christ in a great apostasy. These beliefs have, in some cases, led more mainstream Christian churches to actively shun Mormonismwhich can isolate adherents and make it more difficult for youth to find friends outside the LDS faith community. Today, the information that was requested would take someone with a computer or smart phone less than 5 minutes to find (if that!). Was it because their oldest son didnt serve a mission? Whatever the exact numbers, its hard to see a situation where Africa does not become a significant part of church culture and institutions in the long run., (Michelle Faye | FX) Gil Birmingham as Bill Taba and Andrew Garfield as Jeb Pyre in "Under the Banner of Heaven. And we continue to lose what were stalwart members - some to leaving the church, others return to the Mormon Corridor - Utah/Idaho/Arizona. Most people pass through five emotional stages when they grieve: denial, anger, bargaining, depression, and adjustment. Man and Original Sin By the early part of the 21st century, wired cable networks had become popular. The wealth of the religion, especially since one insider report says that the church possesses $100 billion in a rainy day savings account, causing many members to wonder why they are required to continue to tithe. Growth of the Church. by Simon in Oz Jan 2012. If you've decided that you no longer want to be a member of the church, resigning on your own can result in unwanted contact from church leaders and multiple requests before your . The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints announced Thursday that it will no longer consider people in same-sex marriages to be apostates. Eight of the bottom 10 are blue and voted for Joe Biden. Some who tried to leave by way of quiet inactivity find its hard to get the church to leave them alone, Sorensen says. 2023 Curriculum Focused on the New Testament. Those have been archived at the research site Cumorah.com. Most boil down to broken trust. 20210m5m10m15m20m. It is one of the most confounding things that can happen to a person, especially to someone who has been a committed member of the Church for many years. Andy Larsen is a data columnist for The Salt Lake Tribune. Thank you for supporting local journalism. It appears that most people today have access to multiple sources of information thanks to modern technology. And as with most religions, those teachings follow them through the most personal aspects of their lives, including into the bedroom. The LDS Church does not document how many people leave the church in any given year. Can we decipher more trends around this data? However, I would still assume that the majority of converts had some type of contact with LDS missionaries. Religion Unplugged56 BroadwayNew York, NY 10004, Religion Unplugged is a production of The Media Project and a member of the Institute for Nonprofit NewsEIN: 83-0461425site design by Peter Freeby, Gil Zohar, Bible museum, zoo rabbi, tiger king, netflix, torah education, noah's ark, Biblical Museum of Natural History (BMoNH), Primary Feature, Tevas Tanakh, Natan Slifkin, Christianity, Rabbi, Virtual Tours, Ramadan, Asia, Ewelina U. Ochab, Forbes, Russia, Religious persecution, Coronavirus, COVID-19, coronavirus pandemic, Religious Liberty, prison, Examination of Conscience, opinion, prisoners of conscience freed due to COVID-19, Primary Feature, Pandemic, Uighur Muslims, Catholic churches, Tibetan Buddhists, Jehovah's Witnesses, Islam, Christianity, amassed a $100 billion stockpile using member tithes, which accounted for more than 14% of the churchs growth in 2019, growing number affiliate with an ex-Mormon community. Similarly, Bowman views the 2018 announcement that church services would be cut back to two hours instead of the customary three-hour service as an effort to reduce the strain on local resources. Right off the bat, we can see some intriguing trends: U.S. church membership is certainly still growing but at perhaps a lesser rate than it was five or 10 years ago. These dynamics have existed not only in Mormonism, but across many religions for decades says Jana Riess, a journalist and academic who studies and writes about the LDS Church (of which she is a member). This returned missionary also explained, Though my mother was LDS and I was blessed in the church I wasnt baptized until I was 10. She says many who leave never affiliate with the ex-Mormon community, and never take the steps necessary to remove their names from church rolls. (The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints) Lets go back to Starks prediction and his belief that he may have underestimated the growth of the church a decade and a half after laying out the numbers of 60 to 267 million. A former investment manager for the church has filed . And right now, the fastest-growing religion in America is no religion.. Which states have seen the largest growth in their church population when compared to growth in their overall population? Many of them would give their right arm for any kind of growth, even 1%. LDS youth still leave the church later in life than other young believers in their mid-20s, rather than their late teens. Indeed, researchers even oversampled Utahns to get a larger sample size to understand whats an unusually religious state. The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints is growing in the U.S., but that growth has flattened. Resigning from the Mormon church (Church of Jesus Christ of Latter day Saints) can be a tedious and painful process. However, things slowed down tremendously as the church entered the 21st century. In a lot of other traditions, the children tend to move toward a middle range of religiousness, Smith says. Certainly not the celestial kingdom. There was no electronic information available at that time, unless the microfilm/microfiche machines at the library should be considered electronic. (For those under 40, microfilm/microfiche was nothing more than a small piece of acetone plastic containing miniaturized photographs of newspapers, magazines, and other resources. These local units not only meet together for Sunday services, but often multiple times per week for gatherings that are not overtly religious: campouts and picnics, sporting events, community service. Those who leave the church elsewhere are much more likely to join another faith; those who leave in Utah are more likely to become atheist and affiliate with ex-Mormon communities. (The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints) While the church reported a slight uptick in the number of conversions in 2019 during its General Conference in April, that growth was offset by rapidly declining birthrates, which continue to fall despite the churchs emphasis on traditional family values. Its no secret that the population of some states declined during the pandemic most notably California, which lost about 300,000 residents between 2021 and 2022. Using that as our guide, lets see where the church would be in 2080. We were given a list of 20 items and told to find the answers by scouring the four-story Love Library at San Diego State University. Note that I didnt say staying active in the church. Those numbers are lower. The church maintains that only worthy male members should receive the Aaronic and Melchizedek priesthoods. A total of 126,000 new members were baptized in 2020, down from 249,000 in 2019, which is close to a 50% drop. People are waking up to problematic aspects of Christian origins. One of the main parties to this phenomenon, the online legal service QuitMormon, has processed over 30,000 resignations for former members of the church. The cookies is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Necessary". Here is a basic description of each stage: Notice that the missionaries did not attempt to get 8-year-olds baptized but rather aimed their efforts at those who were 9 or older. California (734,989) and Idaho (471,241) had the next most Latter-day Saints, according to Martinichs blog, while the District of Columbia (3,136), Rhode Island (4,283) and Vermont (4,655) had the fewest. Concerning 9 year old convert baptisms. Make sure to include your full name, your date of birth, your current address, and today's date. These cookies will be stored in your browser only with your consent. The Gem State is a pretty profitable jewel in the churchs real estate portfolio. Think of how much money the church is losing by not renting them out. Address your letter to: Member Records Division, The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, 50 E North Temple Room 1372, Salt Lake City UT 84150-5310. In 1998, Stark said that the LDS Church had already grown faster than his prognosis and his numbers may have underestimated his figures from 16 years before. The number of baptized converts was practically identical to the converts received 16 years later in 2019. Obviously, the pandemic played a role in these numbers, both in the movement of people between states and the skipped reporting of 2020. Information on Joseph Smiths polygamous ways, the unique translation methods of LDS unique scripture, and other controversial material became readily available on the churchs very own website; visiting anti-Mormon sites to find this information wasnt even necessary! As it can be seen here, there is a huge difference between 1.5% and 3% growth! These issues will certainly be a challenge in the next years: How will the leadership handle these issues? For a related article, see Book Review: The Next Mormons: How Millennials are Changing the LDS Church. As a result, growth is sitting at just over 1.5% annually, significantly less than the 3-4% annual growth rates the church enjoyed in the 1970s and 80s. 6. We were able to baptize many of these 9,10, and 11 year olds. "It's not the doctrine and it's not the brethren at all," Doty . Members of the church recorded just 94,266 births in 2019, and President Dallin Oaks, the second highest ranking official in the church, noted in an October 2018 speech that the average LDS woman now marries two years later than in the recent past. Did the Utah Legislature do enough to save the Great Salt Lake? An item in one of my editor and colleague Dave Noyces recent Mormon Land newsletters left me intrigued namely, the fact that 21 U.S. states saw declining membership in The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints in the past two years. But that analysis also hides some interesting trends from state to state. Courtesy image. Find out why! They are meeting . 6.7 million members. This is simply not true. The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints (LDS Church) is the denomination losing the most members, with a decline of more than 30% since 1990. They spend more time in church than other faiths, meet together more often during the week, and are expected to devote more of their personal time to religious study than other faiths. The churchs total parcels in Idaho rank third among the states, behind only Utah and California, and its 58,000-plus acres rank eighth.